In April 2024 Luxon's government set nine targets, most to be reached by 2030. This page compares what it promised with the latest official results. Of the nine targets, three have already been met and three show some progress. One has moved away from the goal, one is mixed and emissions are projected to stay within the limit.
Results to the June 2026 quarter. Checked .
Each target shows the government's baseline, the latest result and how far it has moved toward its goal. The rating in the last line is the government's own assessment, published by the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet.
Promised: 95% of patients admitted, discharged or transferred from an emergency department within six hours.
So far: Some progress
68.0% (September 2023) to 74.4% (March 2026), 24% of the way to the goal.
Government's rating: Feasible. Official factsheet (PDF)
Promised: 95% of people wait less than four months for elective treatment.
So far: Some progress
62.0% (September 2023) to 64.9% (March 2026), 9% of the way to the goal.
Government's rating: Probable. Official factsheet (PDF)
Promised: 15% fewer children and young people with serious and persistent offending behaviour.
So far: Goal already met
1,100 (June 2023) to 814 (June 2026). The goal is already met.
Government's rating: On Track. Official factsheet (PDF)
Promised: 20,000 fewer people are victims of an assault, robbery or sexual assault.
So far: Goal already met
185,000 (October 2023) to 147,577 (May 2026). The goal is already met.
Survey estimates. DPMC notes the margins of error are high.
Government's rating: On Track. Official factsheet (PDF)
Promised: 50,000 fewer people on the Jobseeker Support benefit.
So far: Moved away from the goal
190,000 (December 2023) to 218,500 (June 2026), 28,500 further from the goal.
Government's rating: At Risk. Official factsheet (PDF)
Promised: 80% of students present for more than 90% of the term.
So far: Some progress
47.0% (Term 2, 2023) to 64.3% (Term 2, 2026), 52% of the way to the goal.
Government's rating: Probable. Official factsheet (PDF)
Promised: 80% of Year 8 students at or above the expected curriculum level for their age in reading, writing and maths by December 2030.
So far: Mixed
Reading: 47% (Term 4, 2023) to 45% (Term 4, 2025), 2 points further from the goal.
Writing: 24% (Term 4, 2024) to 28% (Term 4, 2025), 7% of the way to the goal.
Maths: 22% (Term 4, 2023) to 24% (Term 4, 2025), 3% of the way to the goal.
Government's rating: At Risk. Official factsheet (PDF)
Promised: 75% fewer households in emergency housing.
So far: Goal already met
3,141 (December 2023) to 459 (June 2026). The goal is already met.
Government's rating: On Track. Official factsheet (PDF)
Promised: Net emissions of no more than 290 megatonnes from 2022 to 2025 and 305 megatonnes from 2026 to 2030, on track for net zero by 2050.
So far: Projected within the limit
2022 to 2025: projected at 282.3 Mt (2025 projection), within the 290 Mt limit.
2026 to 2030: projected at 301.4 Mt (2025 projection), within the 305 Mt limit.
Projections of total emissions over each budget period, not measured results. Final 2022 to 2025 figures are due in 2027.
Government's rating: On Track. Official factsheet (PDF)
Baselines are the government's own. Several come from before it took office on 27 November 2023, and the periods differ by target. Health results lag a quarter behind the other targets. Movement toward a target is not proof that a policy caused it: the economy, migration and other events also affect these numbers.
Source: Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet, Government Targets, quarterly factsheets, licensed under CC BY 4.0. NZ in Numbers calculated the share of the way to each goal.
